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Red140
400340.6
91038.6
362038.5
Blue90
509023.1
520532.1
370737.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120102608014016018020014090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#11
40.62.0
38.440.3
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
red by 3.5
37.10.5
38.938.3
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End6.5
Second
910
#5
38.62.0
37.639.6
Auto11.2
Teleop17.1
End10.3
red by 6.4
5205
#17
32.10.5
33.533.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3
Third
38.52.0
34.636.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End10.8
red by 15.4
5090
#28
23.10.5
25.525.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned