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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64116020408010014016060104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#38
26.70.5
26.626.2
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1
blue by 17.2
2337
#20
43.90.1
43.843.9
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End9.7
Second
4216
#40
20.90.5
22.021.5
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End8.5
blue by 7.6
7160
#23
28.40.1
30.330.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End11.9
Third
6112
#29
18.80.5
18.317.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End8.2
blue by 8.7
4325
#21
27.50.1
28.228.3
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsMissed95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned