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Red112
634419.7
49445.7
516635.2
Blue86
554711.5
2765.3
608124.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071175015020011286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
45.70.7
45.546.2
Auto13.9
Teleop20.1
End11.7
blue by 19.7
27
#1
65.31.8
69.467.6
Auto15.3
Teleop36.5
End13.4
Second
35.20.7
36.537.2
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End9.5
red by 10.9
6081
#33
24.31.8
25.723.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
Third
6344
#26
19.70.7
19.620.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End8.3
red by 8.3
5547
#36
11.51.8
13.611.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned