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Red20
1239.8
653211.6
36194.3
Blue29
30968.2
26738.4
22243.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3019010405060702029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.60.2
11.911.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End2.0
red by 3.3
8.40.2
7.88.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.3
Second
123
#7
9.80.3
10.19.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End4.9
red by 1.6
3096
#14
8.20.1
7.87.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.0
Third
3619
#13
4.30.2
4.64.3
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End1.4
red by 0.4
2224
#35
3.90.1
3.53.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.6