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Red32
341420.7
835213.9
71453.4
Blue40
509013.5
719114.1
57566.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443610203040506070803240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.2
21.321.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
red by 6.6
14.10.1
14.314.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End4.4
Second
13.90.2
14.614.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End6.1
red by 0.4
13.50.1
13.713.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Third
7145
#15
3.40.2
4.03.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
blue by 3.3
5756
#29
6.70.1
6.97.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4