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Red40
509013.5
22243.9
341420.7
Blue2
56420.4
48512.7
56194.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3426020406080402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.0
12.513.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
red by 15.9
5619
#21
4.82.6
8.45.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.3
Second
13.51.0
8.89.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.7
red by 10.8
4851
#28
2.72.6
8.86.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
Third
2224
#35
3.91.0
9.410.4
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.6
red by 3.5
5642
#36
0.42.6
8.35.7
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed