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Red44
170123.7
653211.6
55324.4
Blue22
78562.8
3327.4
47583.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29340204060801004422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.5
10.310.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.8
blue by 3.7
33
#1
27.41.0
15.114.1
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End5.9
Second
11.60.5
8.89.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End2.0
red by 8.0
4758
#22
3.61.0
8.77.7
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.1
End2.5
Third
5532
#19
4.40.5
8.79.2
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
red by 1.5
7856
#26
2.81.0
7.46.3
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed