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Red5
547811.2
60963.5
46808.5
Blue5
57566.7
47583.6
71964.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161405102025303555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5478
#30
11.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End3.5
red by 4.6
5756
#29
6.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Second
4680
#33
8.5
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.8
red by 4.2
7196
#37
4.3
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.2
Third
6096
#25
3.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End0.5
blue by 0.1
4758
#22
3.6
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed