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Red10
26738.4
50652.3
59017.3
Blue10
835213.9
56420.4
51976.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16110203040501010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.3
blue by 5.6
13.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End6.1
Second
5901
#32
7.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.2
red by 0.6
5197
#20
6.7
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End2.8
Third
5065
#31
2.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End-0.1
red by 1.9
5642
#36
0.4
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed