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Red24
71453.4
56420.4
55777.9
Blue24
509013.5
59152.8
78562.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8240203040502424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#10
7.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.7
blue by 5.5
13.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Second
7145
#15
3.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
red by 0.5
7856
#26
2.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Third
5642
#36
0.4
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End-0.6
blue by 2.4
5915
#34
2.8
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed