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Red17
66164.5
25914.9
55324.4
Blue14
30968.2
57566.7
52175.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211801030405060701714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2591
#18
4.90.2
6.96.7
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 3.3
3096
#14
8.20.4
9.18.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.0
Second
6616
#12
4.50.2
6.05.7
Auto0.9
Teleop0.6
End3.0
blue by 2.1
5756
#29
6.70.4
3.93.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Third
5532
#19
4.40.2
6.26.0
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 1.0
5217
#16
5.30.4
4.54.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed