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Red16
653211.6
22243.9
50652.3
Blue44
25914.9
170123.7
60963.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17300104050601644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.60.2
11.010.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End2.0
blue by 12.1
23.71.4
15.617.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.8
Second
2224
#35
3.90.2
4.03.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.6
blue by 1.0
2591
#18
4.91.5
6.78.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Third
5065
#31
2.30.2
2.82.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End-0.1
blue by 1.2
6096
#25
3.51.5
4.25.7
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed