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Red8
78653.6
66164.5
57566.7
Blue32
72325.2
341420.7
36194.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123102040506070832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5756
#29
6.71.0
3.52.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 14.1
20.70.2
18.518.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
Second
6616
#12
4.51.0
5.74.8
Auto0.9
Teleop0.6
End3.0
blue by 0.7
7232
#23
5.20.2
5.15.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End2.7
Third
7865
#11
3.61.0
4.13.1
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 0.7
3619
#13
4.30.2
2.83.0
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed