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Red25
719114.1
30968.2
60963.5
Blue2
36194.3
78653.6
71453.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2824010204050607080252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.10.5
8.68.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End4.4
red by 9.8
3619
#13
4.32.4
9.67.2
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End1.4
Second
3096
#14
8.20.5
8.88.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.0
red by 4.6
7865
#11
3.62.4
6.74.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Third
6096
#25
3.50.5
8.37.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End0.5
red by 0.1
7145
#15
3.42.4
7.14.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed