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Red5
50652.3
55777.9
20488.8
Blue2
52175.3
59017.3
66164.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31301020405052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2048
#17
8.82.6
10.37.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End1.8
red by 1.5
5901
#32
7.32.9
9.86.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Second
5577
#10
7.92.6
9.67.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.7
red by 2.6
5217
#16
5.32.9
8.86.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End0.3
Third
5065
#31
2.32.6
8.76.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End-0.1
blue by 2.3
6616
#12
4.52.9
9.46.5
Auto0.9
Teleop0.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed