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Red26
56194.8
36324.7
170123.7
Blue1
547811.2
56420.4
55324.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26250102030405060261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.2
10.811.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.8
red by 12.5
5478
#30
11.22.5
8.66.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End3.5
Second
5619
#21
4.80.2
5.85.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.3
red by 0.4
5532
#19
4.42.5
9.26.7
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Third
3632
#27
4.70.2
7.88.0
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
red by 4.3
5642
#36
0.42.5
5.73.2
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed