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Red34
341420.7
26738.4
1239.8
Blue10
57566.7
78562.8
25914.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3720060803410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.1
13.513.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
red by 14.1
5756
#29
6.72.1
9.06.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Second
123
#7
9.80.1
9.79.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End4.9
red by 5.0
2591
#18
4.92.1
5.83.6
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Third
8.40.1
9.79.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.3
red by 5.5
7856
#26
2.82.1
6.34.2
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed