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Red6
46808.5
36194.3
59152.8
Blue15
47583.6
72325.2
509013.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282701020405060615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#33
8.52.6
8.96.3
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.8
blue by 5.0
13.51.3
9.98.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Second
3619
#13
4.32.6
7.24.6
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End1.4
blue by 0.9
7232
#23
5.21.3
8.77.5
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End2.7
Third
5915
#34
2.82.6
9.46.8
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4758
#22
3.61.3
7.76.4
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed