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Red20
36194.3
55777.9
25914.9
Blue12
59152.8
50652.3
56420.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1950103040502012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#10
7.90.0
5.15.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.7
red by 5.1
5915
#34
2.80.2
3.13.3
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.0
Second
2591
#18
4.90.0
8.28.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
red by 2.6
5065
#31
2.30.2
2.62.8
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End-0.1
Third
3619
#13
4.30.0
3.03.0
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End1.4
red by 3.9
5642
#36
0.40.2
0.50.7
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed