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Red22
55324.4
1239.8
30968.2
Blue22
48512.7
509013.5
60963.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24251015203035402222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#7
9.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End4.9
blue by 3.6
13.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Second
3096
#14
8.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.0
red by 4.7
6096
#25
3.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Third
5532
#19
4.4
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
red by 1.6
4851
#28
2.7
Auto2.2
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed