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Red38
170123.7
71453.4
835213.9
Blue12
36324.7
51976.7
72325.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4680204060803812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.0
18.018.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.8
red by 17.0
5197
#20
6.70.5
1.61.1
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End2.8
Second
13.90.0
16.316.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End6.1
red by 8.7
7232
#23
5.20.5
5.55.0
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End2.7
Third
7145
#15
3.40.0
3.73.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
blue by 1.3
3632
#27
4.70.4
5.14.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed