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Red30
3327.4
59017.3
56420.4
Blue19
46808.5
26738.4
48512.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2817010204050603019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
27.40.4
21.521.9
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End5.9
red by 19.0
4680
#33
8.50.1
6.46.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.8
Second
5901
#32
7.30.5
4.14.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 1.0
8.40.2
7.37.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.3
Third
5642
#36
0.40.5
-0.30.2
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End-0.6
blue by 2.3
4851
#28
2.70.2
3.83.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed