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Red41
55777.9
509013.5
57566.7
Blue49
51976.7
52175.3
170123.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25251520303540454149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.50.9
13.614.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.7
blue by 10.3
23.71.8
18.019.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.8
Second
5577
#10
7.90.9
6.17.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.7
red by 1.2
5197
#20
6.72.3
1.13.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End2.8
Third
5756
#29
6.70.9
4.04.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4
red by 1.3
5217
#16
5.31.9
4.06.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed