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Red18
59017.3
46808.5
22243.9
Blue29
78653.6
547811.2
33025.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171305101520253035401829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#33
8.50.2
6.66.8
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.8
blue by 2.8
5478
#30
11.21.2
6.17.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End3.5
Second
5901
#32
7.30.2
4.64.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.2
red by 2.0
3302
#24
5.31.1
2.63.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Third
2224
#35
3.90.2
4.34.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.6
red by 0.3
7865
#11
3.61.1
4.05.1
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed