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Red26
48512.7
835213.9
72325.2
Blue8
55324.4
36194.3
78562.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3010020405060268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.90.6
16.315.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End6.1
red by 9.6
5532
#19
4.40.7
5.75.1
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Second
7232
#23
5.20.8
5.04.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End2.7
red by 0.9
3619
#13
4.30.6
3.73.1
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End1.4
Third
4851
#28
2.70.7
3.93.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
blue by 0.1
7856
#26
2.80.7
2.21.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed