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Red38
159617.0
523010.3
531415.0
Blue35
43759.8
55479.3
498812.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313310204050603835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#13
17.00.9
15.416.3
Auto6.2
Teleop5.9
End5.0
red by 4.1
4988
#18
12.90.6
12.413.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End3.5
Second
15.00.9
8.59.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End4.0
red by 5.2
4375
#28
9.80.6
10.911.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Third
5230
#14
10.30.9
6.17.0
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End3.3
red by 1.0
5547
#34
9.30.6
6.57.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed