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Red16
715410.2
78233.9
54867.9
Blue5
58785.0
60799.4
78262.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252601020304050165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7154
#15
10.20.9
10.09.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.6
red by 0.8
6079
#32
9.42.1
11.49.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End2.1
Second
5486
#23
7.90.9
7.46.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.7
End3.3
red by 2.9
5878
#36
5.02.1
7.85.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End-1.8
Third
7823
#26
3.90.9
6.85.8
Auto1.3
Teleop1.0
End1.6
red by 1.1
7826
#33
2.82.1
4.32.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed