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Red38
571412.5
851714.4
258617.4
Blue22
57095.8
656915.1
842515.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34390102030506070803822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#19
17.40.6
15.816.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 1.8
15.61.6
14.212.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End10.4
Second
8517
#10
14.40.6
10.010.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End5.2
blue by 0.7
6569
#27
15.11.6
11.710.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Third
5714
#20
12.50.6
6.87.4
Auto5.4
Teleop2.4
End4.7
red by 6.7
5709
#29
5.81.6
10.58.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed