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Red31
531415.0
842515.6
63455.2
Blue24
715410.2
57026.2
78262.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32190104050603124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.1
12.712.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End10.4
red by 5.4
7154
#15
10.20.0
9.19.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Second
15.00.1
9.49.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End4.0
red by 8.8
5702
#37
6.20.0
8.48.5
Auto4.4
Teleop0.8
End1.0
Third
6345
#25
5.20.1
6.05.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End0.4
red by 2.3
7826
#33
2.80.0
2.32.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed