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Red14
55479.3
258617.4
78233.9
Blue49
48355.2
60799.4
851714.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32280102040501449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#19
17.41.7
16.414.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 3.1
8517
#10
14.41.6
10.612.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Second
5547
#34
9.31.7
7.15.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 0.1
6079
#32
9.41.6
9.410.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End2.1
Third
7823
#26
3.91.7
5.84.1
Auto1.3
Teleop1.0
End1.6
blue by 1.3
4835
#24
5.21.6
7.08.5
Auto1.7
Teleop0.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned