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Red18
57095.8
724417.8
159617.0
Blue28
656915.1
523010.3
85723.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46350204060801828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7244
#17
17.81.6
16.314.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End3.5
blue by 6.0
857
#1
23.80.7
17.216.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End11.6
Second
1596
#13
17.02.6
16.313.7
Auto6.2
Teleop5.9
End5.0
red by 1.9
6569
#27
15.10.7
10.19.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Third
5709
#29
5.82.6
8.96.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.8
blue by 4.5
5230
#14
10.30.7
7.06.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed