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Red50
611217.2
43759.8
608811.5
Blue41
778220.6
571412.5
521620.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41462030506070805041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.7
15.015.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End9.0
blue by 3.8
20.90.2
16.716.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End6.3
Second
6088
#11
11.51.2
12.814.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 9.1
20.60.2
18.518.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End11.0
Third
4375
#28
9.81.2
11.412.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.7
End1.4
blue by 2.7
5714
#20
12.50.2
7.47.2
Auto5.4
Teleop2.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsMissed