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Red47
550523.9
9049.7
715410.2
Blue14
78262.8
48355.2
48279.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3722010305060704714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.6
14.616.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End9.0
red by 14.7
4827
#21
9.20.9
11.510.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Second
7154
#15
10.21.6
9.110.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.6
red by 5.0
4835
#24
5.20.9
8.57.6
Auto1.7
Teleop0.6
End2.8
Third
904
#16
9.71.0
8.89.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.4
End2.9
red by 6.8
7826
#33
2.80.9
2.31.4
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed