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Red34
663725.9
51835.9
523010.3
Blue20
60799.4
656915.1
159617.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323710204050603420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.4
21.121.4
Auto9.5
Teleop4.3
End12.1
red by 9.0
1596
#13
17.01.6
13.712.1
Auto6.2
Teleop5.9
End5.0
Second
5230
#14
10.30.4
6.36.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End3.3
blue by 4.8
6569
#27
15.11.6
9.47.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Third
5183
#30
5.90.4
3.43.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.4
End1.9
blue by 3.5
6079
#32
9.41.6
10.99.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed