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Red38
57095.8
43759.8
851714.4
Blue23
43928.5
724417.8
55479.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333310203040503823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#10
14.40.3
12.212.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End5.2
blue by 3.5
7244
#17
17.80.6
14.714.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End3.5
Second
4375
#28
9.80.3
12.613.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.7
End1.4
red by 0.5
5547
#34
9.30.9
5.44.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Third
5709
#29
5.80.3
6.36.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.8
blue by 2.7
4392
#35
8.50.9
11.310.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed