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Red79
207529.5
335737.8
61228.6
Blue51
102324.7
191827.9
86125.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835820401001201407951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.1
37.537.6
Auto9.2
Teleop18.3
End10.3
red by 9.9
27.90.2
27.827.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End11.0
Second
29.50.1
29.229.3
Auto12.0
Teleop15.5
End2.0
red by 4.8
24.70.2
24.624.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End4.7
Third
6122
#25
8.60.1
8.38.4
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.4
red by 2.9
8612
#22
5.70.2
5.65.4
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End2.8