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Red85
207529.5
335737.8
61228.6
Blue69
102324.7
191827.9
86125.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845820401001201408569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.2
37.637.8
Auto9.2
Teleop18.3
End10.3
red by 9.9
27.90.3
27.727.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End11.0
Second
29.50.2
29.329.5
Auto12.0
Teleop15.5
End2.0
red by 4.8
24.70.3
24.424.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End4.7
Third
6122
#25
8.60.2
8.48.6
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.4
red by 2.9
8612
#22
5.70.3
5.45.7
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End2.8