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Red17
728911.2
79115.2
542411.7
Blue64
191827.9
102324.7
171124.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34520204060801001201764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#20
11.72.4
13.411.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End5.5
blue by 16.2
27.91.9
17.619.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End11.0
Second
7289
#17
11.22.4
11.59.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End5.9
blue by 13.5
24.71.9
17.419.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End4.7
Third
7911
#33
5.22.4
9.47.0
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 19.2
24.51.9
12.013.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned