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Red37
357220.2
51629.6
323412.3
Blue43
705613.7
723412.1
705420.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36330102040506070803743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#16
20.20.4
14.915.3
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End8.4
blue by 0.2
20.41.3
10.011.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End-0.6
Second
3234
#21
12.30.4
9.19.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End0.8
blue by 1.4
7056
#19
13.71.3
12.313.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Third
5162
#30
9.60.4
9.19.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 2.5
7234
#14
12.11.3
8.810.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed