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Red49
723412.1
51629.6
171124.5
Blue35
52565.7
612113.3
515215.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35370102030506070804935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.3
13.915.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End11.3
red by 8.7
15.70.0
13.013.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End9.2
Second
7234
#14
12.11.3
10.111.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End3.9
blue by 1.2
6121
#23
13.30.0
11.011.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Third
5162
#30
9.61.3
9.610.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.3
red by 3.9
5256
#24
5.70.0
10.810.8
Auto0.8
Teleop0.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned