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Red56
542411.7
57048.4
207529.5
Blue32
508617.9
79115.2
357220.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34361020304050605632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.52.6
14.917.5
Auto12.0
Teleop15.5
End2.0
red by 9.3
3572
#16
20.20.1
15.315.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End8.4
Second
5424
#20
11.72.6
11.013.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End5.5
blue by 6.2
5086
#12
17.90.1
11.010.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.2
End5.1
Third
5704
#29
8.42.6
6.59.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End2.3
red by 3.1
7911
#33
5.20.1
7.06.9
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed