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Red41
542411.7
61228.6
171124.5
Blue56
705420.4
360320.7
508617.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42381020305060704156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.3
15.115.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End11.3
red by 3.8
20.72.2
13.816.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End4.3
Second
5424
#20
11.70.3
13.713.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End5.5
blue by 8.7
20.42.2
11.613.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End-0.6
Third
6122
#25
8.60.3
9.810.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.4
blue by 9.3
5086
#12
17.92.2
10.813.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed