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Red30
723412.1
724415.2
357220.2
Blue59
335737.8
78187.5
86125.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384402060801003059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#16
20.20.7
15.214.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End8.4
blue by 17.6
37.82.1
21.123.2
Auto9.2
Teleop18.3
End10.3
Second
7244
#13
15.20.7
9.68.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 7.6
7818
#31
7.52.1
9.211.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.1
End3.8
Third
7234
#14
12.10.7
11.410.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End3.9
red by 6.4
8612
#22
5.72.1
9.912.0
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsEarned