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Red84
705613.7
207529.5
716024.5
Blue54
191827.9
51629.6
611215.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51520204060801001208454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.54.0
21.325.3
Auto12.0
Teleop15.5
End2.0
red by 1.6
27.90.6
25.225.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End11.0
Second
7160
#11
24.54.0
12.616.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End11.0
red by 9.0
6112
#10
15.50.6
14.815.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End7.0
Third
7056
#19
13.74.0
13.918.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.1
red by 4.1
5162
#30
9.60.6
8.89.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsEarned