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Red22
65815.0
102324.7
83972.0
Blue43
323412.3
508617.9
612113.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423402060802243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.8
24.122.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End4.7
red by 6.8
5086
#12
17.91.1
13.014.1
Auto6.6
Teleop6.2
End5.1
Second
6581
#34
5.01.8
9.77.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End-1.4
blue by 8.3
6121
#23
13.31.1
10.311.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Third
8397
#27
2.01.8
4.72.9
Auto0.7
Teleop1.0
End0.3
blue by 10.3
3234
#21
12.31.1
9.810.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed