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Red79
57048.4
608117.2
335737.8
Blue53
61228.6
360320.7
52565.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49382060801007953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.83.4
23.226.6
Auto9.2
Teleop18.3
End10.3
red by 17.1
20.71.8
16.017.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End4.3
Second
17.23.4
13.416.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.2
red by 8.5
6122
#25
8.61.8
10.111.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.4
Third
5704
#29
8.43.4
8.011.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End2.3
red by 2.7
5256
#24
5.71.8
10.712.5
Auto0.8
Teleop0.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed