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Red45
705420.4
84238.6
357220.2
Blue21
79115.2
171124.5
78187.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423301020506070804521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.8
13.814.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End-0.6
blue by 4.1
24.51.3
15.414.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End11.3
Second
3572
#16
20.20.8
14.515.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End8.4
red by 12.7
7818
#31
7.51.3
11.310.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.1
End3.8
Third
8423
#28
8.60.8
9.910.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
red by 3.3
7911
#33
5.21.3
5.84.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed