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Red26
611215.5
86125.7
52565.7
Blue29
88326.2
705613.7
51629.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45310204060802629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6112
#10
15.51.6
15.313.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End7.0
red by 1.8
7056
#19
13.70.2
18.017.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Second
8612
#22
5.71.6
12.410.8
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End2.8
blue by 3.9
5162
#30
9.60.2
9.49.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Third
5256
#24
5.71.6
12.510.9
Auto0.8
Teleop0.5
End4.4
blue by 0.5
8832
#26
6.20.2
3.33.1
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed