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Red43
515215.7
723412.1
65617.3
Blue46
65815.0
171124.5
360320.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32440204060804346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.71.3
13.815.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End9.2
blue by 8.7
24.50.7
14.114.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End11.3
Second
7234
#14
12.11.3
11.112.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End3.9
blue by 8.5
20.70.7
17.818.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End4.3
Third
6561
#32
7.31.3
6.37.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.9
End3.2
red by 2.3
6581
#34
5.00.7
7.88.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed44%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed