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Red38
52565.7
608117.2
79115.2
Blue33
323412.3
88326.2
542411.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34330102040506070803833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.6
18.018.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.2
red by 4.9
3234
#21
12.30.2
13.914.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Second
5256
#24
5.70.6
7.17.8
Auto0.8
Teleop0.5
End4.4
blue by 6.1
5424
#20
11.70.2
11.611.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End5.5
Third
7911
#33
5.20.6
6.36.9
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 0.9
8832
#26
6.20.2
5.55.7
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed